_________________________________________________________________

  E M P L O Y E E   B E N E F I T S ,   C O M P E N S A T I O N
                    &   P E N S I O N   L A W
                  Vol. 6,  No. 5: March 10, 2005
_________________________________________________________________

Publisher:     Employment, Labor, Compensation & Pension Law Journals
               a division of
               Social Science Electronic Publishing, Inc. (SSEP)
               and Social Science Research Network (SSRN)

Editor:        PAMELA PERUN
               Urban Institute
               Mailto:pamela@planetnow.com

Copyright:     SSEP, Inc. 2005. All rights reserved.

Leading Social Science Research Delivered To Your Desktop
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                      Topic of This Issue:
                        Health Insurance
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T A B L E   of   C O N T E N T S
_________________________________________________________________


NEW and FORTHCOMING ARTICLES

"Behavioral Economics and Health Policy: Understanding Medicaid's
 Failure"
      Cornell Law Review, Vol. 90, No. 3, 2005
     BARAK D. RICHMAN
        Duke University School of Law


"The Most Important Health Care Legislation of the Millennium (so
 Far): The Medicare Modernization Act"
      Yale Journal of Health Policy, Law, and Ethics, 2005
     TIMOTHY STOLTZFUS JOST
        Washington and Lee University
        School of Law

WORKING PAPERS

"The Interaction of Public and Private Insurance: Medicaid and
 the Long-Term Care Insurance Market"
     JEFFREY R. BROWN
        University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
        Department of Finance
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
     AMY FINKELSTEIN
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
        Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
        Department of Economics


"Wage and Benefit Changes in Response to Rising Health Insurance
 Costs"
     DANA P. GOLDMAN
        RAND
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
     NEERAJ SOOD
        RAND
     ARLEEN LEIBOWITZ
        University of California, Los Angeles
        School of Public Policy & Social Research
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)


"Tax Policy for Health Insurance"
     JONATHAN GRUBER
        Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
        Department of Economics
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)


"Stemming the Tide? The Effect of Expanding Medicaid Eligibility
 on Health Insurance"
     LARA DAWN SHORE-SHEPPARD
        Williams College
        Department of Economics
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)


"Health Insurance, Treatment and Outcomes: Using Auto Accidents
 as Health Shocks"
     JOSEPH J. DOYLE
        Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
        Economics, Finance, Accounting (EFA)
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)


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EDITORIAL POLICIES
 To provide the broadest coverage of research in Employee
 Benefits, Compensation & Pension Law we do not referee working
 papers. We accept abstracts of working papers in Employee
 Benefits, Compensation & Pension Law whose topics suit the
 coverage of the journal and which are part of the worldwide
 scholarly discourse.


N E W   and   F O R T H C O M I N G   Articles
_________________________________________________________________

"Behavioral Economics and Health Policy: Understanding Medicaid's
 Failure"
      Cornell Law Review, Vol. 90, No. 3, 2005

      BY:  BARAK D. RICHMAN
              Duke University School of Law

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=580461

Paper ID:  Duke Law School Legal Studies Research Paper No. 62

 Contact:  BARAK D. RICHMAN
   Email:  Mailto:richman@law.duke.edu
  Postal:  Duke University School of Law
           Box 90360
           Durham, NC 27708  UNITED STATES
   Phone:  919-613-7244
     Fax:  919-613-7231

ABSTRACT:
 This paper employs a behavioral economic analysis to understand
 why Medicaid has failed to improve the health outcomes of its
 beneficiaries. It begins with a formal economic model of health
 care consumption and then systematically incorporates a survey
 of psychosocial variables to formulate explanations for
 persistent health disparities. This methodology suggests that
 consulting the literature in health psychology and intertemporal
 decision theory - empirical sources generally excluded from
 orthodox economic analysis - provides valuable material to
 explain certain findings in health econometrics. More
 significant, the lessons from this behavioral economic approach
 generates useful policy reforms to Medicaid policymakers, who
 largely have neglected psychosocial variables in implementing a
 health insurance program that rests chiefly on orthodox economic
 assumptions.

 The paper's chief contributions include an expansion of the
 behavioral economic approach to include a host of variables in
 health psychology, a behavioral refinement of empirical health
 economics, a behavioral critique of Medicaid policy, and a menu
 of suggested Medicaid reforms.


JEL Classification: H51, I12, I18, I38, J24, Z13
______________________________

"The Most Important Health Care Legislation of the Millennium (so
 Far): The Medicare Modernization Act"
      Yale Journal of Health Policy, Law, and Ethics, 2005

      BY:  TIMOTHY STOLTZFUS JOST
              Washington and Lee University
              School of Law

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=661081

Paper ID:  Washington & Lee Legal Studies Paper No. 05-2

 Contact:  TIMOTHY STOLTZFUS JOST
   Email:  Mailto:JOSTT@WLU.EDU
  Postal:  Washington and Lee University
           School of Law
           Lexington, VA 24450  UNITED STATES
   Phone:  540-458-8510
     Fax:  540-458-8488

ABSTRACT:
 Whether or not one believes that the Medicare Prescription Drug,
 Improvement, and Modernization Act (MMA) in fact "improves" or
 "modernizes" Medicare, it is obvious that the legislation
 radically changes the program. The extent and nature of these
 changes make the MMA the most important piece of health care
 legislation to be adopted by Congress to date in this young
 millennium. This Commentary describes the identifying
 characteristics of the current Medicare program, then examines
 the significant changes that the MMA makes in the program, and
 finally discusses the importance, and danger, of these changes.

______________________________

W O R K I N G   P A P E R   Abstracts
_________________________________________________________________

"The Interaction of Public and Private Insurance: Medicaid and
 the Long-Term Care Insurance Market"

      BY:  JEFFREY R. BROWN
              University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
              Department of Finance
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
           AMY FINKELSTEIN
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
              Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
              Department of Economics

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=637486

Paper ID:  NBER Working Paper No. W10989
    Date:  December 2004

 Contact:  JEFFREY R. BROWN
   Email:  Mailto:brownjr@uiuc.edu
  Postal:  University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
           Department of Finance
           1206 South Sixth Street
           Champaign, IL 61820  UNITED STATES
 Co-Auth:  AMY FINKELSTEIN
   Email:  Mailto:afinkels@nber.org
  Postal:  National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
           1050 Massachusetts Avenue
           Cambridge, MA 02138  UNITED STATES

ABSTRACT:
 We show that the provision of even incomplete public insurance
 can substantially crowd out private insurance demand. We examine
 the interaction of the public Medicaid program with the private
 market for long-term care insurance and estimate that Medicaid
 can explain the lack of private insurance purchases for at least
 two-thirds and as much as 90 percent of the wealth distribution,
 even if comprehensive, actuarially fair private policies were
 available. Medicaid's large crowd out effect stems from the very
 large implicit tax (on the order of 60 to 75 percent for a
 median wealth individual) that Medicaid imposes on the benefits
 paid from private insurance policies. Importantly, Medicaid
 itself provides an inadequate mechanism for smoothing
 consumption for most individuals, so that its crowd out effect
 has important implications for overall risk exposure. An
 implication of our findings is that public policies designed to
 stimulate private insurance demand will be of limited efficacy
 as long as Medicaid continues to impose this large implicit tax.


JEL Classification: H4, H51, I11, J14
______________________________

"Wage and Benefit Changes in Response to Rising Health Insurance
 Costs"

      BY:  DANA P. GOLDMAN
              RAND
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
           NEERAJ SOOD
              RAND
           ARLEEN LEIBOWITZ
              University of California, Los Angeles
              School of Public Policy & Social Research
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=652362

Paper ID:  NBER Working Paper No. W11063
    Date:  January 2005

 Contact:  DANA P. GOLDMAN
   Email:  Mailto:DANA_GOLDMAN@RAND.ORG
  Postal:  RAND
           P.O. Box 2138
           1700 Main Street
           Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138  UNITED STATES
 Co-Auth:  NEERAJ SOOD
   Email:  Mailto:sood@rand.org
  Postal:  RAND
           P.O. Box 2138
           1700 Main Street
           Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138  UNITED STATES
 Co-Auth:  ARLEEN LEIBOWITZ
   Email:  Mailto:Arleen@ucla.edu
  Postal:  University of California, Los Angeles
           School of Public Policy & Social Research
           Box 951656
           Los Angeles, CA 90095  UNITED STATES

ABSTRACT:
 Many companies have defined-contribution benefit plans requiring
 employees to pay the full cost (before taxes) of more generous
 health insurance choices. Research has shown that employee
 decisions are quite responsive to these arrangements. What is
 less clear is how the total compensation package changes when
 health insurance premiums rise. This paper examines employee
 compensation decisions during a three-year period when health
 insurance premiums were rising rapidly. The data come from a
 single large firm with a flexible benefits plan wherein
 employees explicitly choose how to allocate compensation between
 cash wages and other benefits. Under such an arrangement, higher
 health insurance premiums must induce changes in the composition
 of total compensation - either in lower after-tax wages or in
 decreased contributions to other benefits. The results suggest
 that about two-thirds of the premium increase is financed out of
 cash wages and the remaining one-thirds is financed by a
 reduction in benefits.


JEL Classification: J33
______________________________

"Tax Policy for Health Insurance"

      BY:  JONATHAN GRUBER
              Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
              Department of Economics
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=633636

Paper ID:  NBER Working Paper No. W10977
    Date:  December 2004

 Contact:  JONATHAN GRUBER
   Email:  Mailto:gruberj@mit.edu
  Postal:  Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
           Department of Economics
           Room E52-355
           50 Memorial Drive
           Cambridge, MA 02142  UNITED STATES
   Phone:  617-253-8892
     Fax:  617-253-1330

ABSTRACT:
 Despite a $140 billion existing tax break for employer-provided
 health insurance, tax policy remains the tool of choice for many
 policy-makers in addressing the problem of the uninsured. In
 this paper, I use a microsimulation model to estimate the impact
 of various tax interventions to cover the uninsured, relative to
 an expansion of public insurance designed to accomplish the same
 goals. I contrast the efficiency of these policies along several
 dimensions, most notably the dollars of public spending per
 dollar of insurance value provided. I find that every tax policy
 is much less efficient than public insurance expansions: while
 public insurance costs the government only between $1.17 and
 $1.33 per dollar of insurance value provided, tax policies cost
 the government between $2.36 and $12.98 per dollar of insurance
 value provided. I also find that targeting is crucial for
 efficient tax policy; policies tightly targeted to the lowest
 income earners have a much higher efficiency than those
 available higher in the income distribution. Within tax
 policies, tax credits aimed at employers are the most efficient,
 and tax credits aimed at employees are the least efficient,
 because the single greatest determinant of insurance coverage is
 being offered insurance by your employer, and because most
 employees who are offered already take up that insurance. Tax
 credits targeted at non-group coverage are fairly similar to
 employer tax credits at low levels, but much less efficient at
 higher levels.


JEL Classification: H2, I1
______________________________

"Stemming the Tide? The Effect of Expanding Medicaid Eligibility
 on Health Insurance"

      BY:  LARA DAWN SHORE-SHEPPARD
              Williams College
              Department of Economics
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=657603

Paper ID:  NBER Working Paper No. W11091
    Date:  January 2005

 Contact:  LARA DAWN SHORE-SHEPPARD
   Email:  Mailto:lara.d.shore-sheppard@williams.edu
  Postal:  Williams College
           Department of Economics
           Fernald House
           Williamstown, MA 01267  UNITED STATES
   Phone:  413-597-2226
     Fax:  413-597-4045

ABSTRACT:
 Despite considerable research, there is little consensus about
 the impact of Medicaid eligibility expansions for low-income
 children. In this paper, I reexamine the expansions' impact on
 Medicaid take-up and private insurance 'crowd-out'. Focusing on
 the most influential estimates of the expansions' impact, I show
 that while many of the critiques leveled at these estimates have
 little effect on their magnitude, accounting for age-specific
 trends in coverage produces estimates similar to others in the
 literature. Estimating the impact of later expansions using
 additional years of data, I find low rates of take-up and no
 evidence of crowding out.


JEL Classification: I1
______________________________

"Health Insurance, Treatment and Outcomes: Using Auto Accidents
 as Health Shocks"

      BY:  JOSEPH J. DOYLE
              Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
              Economics, Finance, Accounting (EFA)
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=663481

Paper ID:  NBER Working Paper No. W11099
    Date:  February 2005

 Contact:  JOSEPH J. DOYLE
   Email:  Mailto:jjdoyle@mit.edu
  Postal:  Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
           Economics, Finance, Accounting (EFA)
           77 Massachusetts Avenue
           Cambridge, MA 02139-4307  UNITED STATES
   Phone:  617-452-3761
     Fax:  617-258-6855

ABSTRACT:
 Previous studies find that the uninsured receive less health
 care than the insured, yet differences in health outcomes have
 rarely been studied. In addition, selection bias may partly
 explain the difference in care received. This paper focuses on
 an unexpected health shock - severe automobile accidents where
 victims have little choice but to visit a hospital. Another
 innovation is the use of a comparison group that is similar to
 the uninsured: those who have private health insurance but do
 not have automobile insurance. The medically uninsured are found
 to receive twenty percent less care and have a substantially
 higher mortality rate.