_________________________________________________________________

  E M P L O Y E E   B E N E F I T S ,   C O M P E N S A T I O N
                    &   P E N S I O N   L A W
                Vol. 5,  No. 20: October 21, 2004
_________________________________________________________________

Publisher:     LSN Employment, Labor, Compensation & Pension Journals
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Editor:        PAMELA PERUN
               Urban Institute
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T A B L E   of   C O N T E N T S
_________________________________________________________________


NEW and FORTHCOMING ARTICLES

"The Impact of Tax-Financed Pensions on Poverty Reduction in
 Latin America: Evidence from Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica
 and Uruguay"
      International Social Security Review, Vol. 57, No. 4, pp.
      3-18, September 2004
     FABIO M. BERTRANOU
        International Labour Office
        Headquarters, Geneva
     WOUTER VAN GINNEKEN
        International Labour Office
        Headquarters, Geneva
     CARMEN SOLORIO
        International Labour Office
        Headquarters, Geneva


"Measuring Retirement Income Adequacy, Part One: Traditional
 Replacement Ratios and Results for Workers at Large Companies"
      EBRI Notes, Vol. 25, No. 9, September 2004
     JACK VANDERHEI
        Temple University
        Risk Management & Insurance & Actuarial Science
        Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI)

WORKING PAPERS

"Health, Longevity, and Optimal Retirement"
     DAVID E. BLOOM
        Harvard University
        Harvard School of Public Health
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
     DAVID CANNING
        Harvard University
        Harvard School of Public Health
     MICHAEL JOHN MOORE
        Queen's University Belfast
        School of Management and Economics


"Incentive Effects of Bonus Payments: Evidence from an
 International Company"
     AXEL ENGELLANDT
        University of Basel
     REGINA T. RIPHAHN
        University of Basel
        Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
        Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)


"Understanding 401(k) Plans"
     RAMON P. DEGENNARO
        Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
        University of Tennessee, Knoxville
        Department of Finance
     DEBORAH MURPHY
        University of Tennessee, Knoxville
        Department of Finance


"The Determinants of Investment in Private Equity and Venture
 Capital: Evidence from American and Canadian Pension Funds"
     GILLES CHEMLA
        CNRS - THEMA
        Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
        University of British Columbia
        Sauder School of Business


"Supply or Demand: Why is the Market for Long-Term Care Insurance
 So Small?"
     JEFFREY R. BROWN
        University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
        Department of Finance
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
     AMY FINKELSTEIN
        National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
        Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
        Department of Economics


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EDITORIAL POLICIES
 To provide the broadest coverage of research in Employee
 Benefits, Compensation & Pension Law we do not referee working
 papers. We accept abstracts of working papers in Employee
 Benefits, Compensation & Pension Law whose topics suit the
 coverage of the journal and which are part of the worldwide
 scholarly discourse.


N E W   and   F O R T H C O M I N G   Articles
_________________________________________________________________

"The Impact of Tax-Financed Pensions on Poverty Reduction in
 Latin America: Evidence from Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica
 and Uruguay"
      International Social Security Review, Vol. 57, No. 4, pp.
      3-18, September 2004

      BY:  FABIO M. BERTRANOU
              International Labour Office
              Headquarters, Geneva
           WOUTER VAN GINNEKEN
              International Labour Office
              Headquarters, Geneva
           CARMEN SOLORIO
              International Labour Office
              Headquarters, Geneva

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=591485

 Contact:  FABIO M. BERTRANOU
   Email:  Mailto:bertranou@ilo.org
  Postal:  International Labour Office
           Headquarters, Geneva
           4, route des Morillons
           CH-1211 Geneva 22,    SWITZERLAND
   Phone:  56 2 7565300
 Co-Auth:  WOUTER VAN GINNEKEN
   Email:  Mailto:ginneken@ilo.org
  Postal:  International Labour Office
           Headquarters, Geneva
           4, route des Morillons
           CH-1211 Geneva 22,    SWITZERLAND
 Co-Auth:  CARMEN SOLORIO
   Email:  Mailto:solorio@ilo.org
  Postal:  International Labour Office
           Headquarters, Geneva
           4, route des Morillons
           CH-1211 Geneva 22,    SWITZERLAND

ABSTRACT:
 In many Latin American countries, tax-financed pensions (TFPs)
 have expanded, mainly resulting from growing informalization of
 employment and stagnating or declining pension insurance
 coverage. In the five countries examined in this article, TFPs
 have generally been effective in reducing poverty and indigence.
 In Brazil rural social assistance pensions cut the incidence of
 destitution among poor older people by 95 per cent. In Chile
 TFPs considerably improved their poverty reduction effectiveness
 between 1990 and 2000. Tax-financed pensions have therefore been
 seen as an instrument to supplement contributory pension
 coverage and boost overall social security coverage. A key
 challenge is to increase pension insurance coverage through
 existing statutory pension insurance or special contributory
 schemes targeted on workers in the informal economy. Otherwise,
 TFPs could become financially and socially unsustainable in the
 future. There are also various ways to improve the financing,
 administration and eligibility criteria of TFPs, particularly
 because it is necessary to define consistent structure and
 benefit policies between these and contributory schemes.

______________________________

"Measuring Retirement Income Adequacy, Part One: Traditional
 Replacement Ratios and Results for Workers at Large Companies"
      EBRI Notes, Vol. 25, No. 9, September 2004

      BY:  JACK VANDERHEI
              Temple University
              Risk Management & Insurance & Actuarial Science
              Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI)

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=599966

 Contact:  JACK VANDERHEI
   Email:  Mailto:TEMPLE@VANDERHEI.COM
  Postal:  Temple University
           Risk Management & Insurance & Actuarial Science
           489 Ritter Annex
           Fox School of Business and Management
           1301 Cecil B. Moore Ave.
           Philadelphia, PA 19122  UNITED STATES
   Phone:  610-525-6139
     Fax:  435-603-1422

Paper Requests:
 Contact Alicia Willis at Mailto:publications@ebri.org, or 2121 K
 St., NW, Suite 600, Washington, DC 20037-1896.
 Phone:(202)572-7422, Fax:(202)775-6312. Full-Text downloads are
 available from SSRN Online for $7.50.

ABSTRACT:
 This paper is the first of a two-part series intended to sort
 through some of the issues and variations in determining whether
 the post-World War II baby boom generation is likely to achieve
 an "acceptable" standard of living in retirement. A recent study
 by Hewitt Associates shows that the typical 401(k) participant
 is well-positioned to replace 85-95 percent of preretirement
 income when current Social Security, existing profit-sharing,
 and defined benefit plans are taken into account. The study
 examined the projected preretirement income replacement levels
 across 62 large companies of the 960,000 employees who were
 actively participating in their 401(k) plans as of January 1,
 2003. The overall average replacement ratio for the Hewitt
 analysis drops from 95 percent under the high medical coverage
 assumption to 83 percent under the medium assumption and 80
 percent under the low medical coverage assumption. This is true
 for employees retiring at a "normal" retirement age of 65, and
 who are relying primarily on Medicare for their health care
 benefits. Employees retiring at an earlier age will experience
 an even larger financial setback.


JEL Classification: D31, D91, J14
______________________________

W O R K I N G   P A P E R   Abstracts
_________________________________________________________________

"Health, Longevity, and Optimal Retirement"

      BY:  DAVID E. BLOOM
              Harvard University
              Harvard School of Public Health
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
           DAVID CANNING
              Harvard University
              Harvard School of Public Health
           MICHAEL JOHN MOORE
              Queen's University Belfast
              School of Management and Economics

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=594801

    Date:  August 2004

 Contact:  MICHAEL JOHN MOORE
   Email:  Mailto:m.moore@qub.ac.uk
  Postal:  Queen's University Belfast
           School of Management and Economics
           Belfast BT7 1JP,    IRELAND
   Phone:  +44 28 90273208
     Fax:  +44 28 90335156
 Co-Auth:  DAVID E. BLOOM
   Email:  Mailto:dbloom@hsph.harvard.edu
  Postal:  Harvard University
           Harvard School of Public Health
           677 Huntington Avenue
           Boston, MA 02115  UNITED STATES
 Co-Auth:  DAVID CANNING
   Email:  Mailto:dcanning@hsph.harvard.edu
  Postal:  Harvard University
           Harvard School of Public Health
           677 Huntington Avenue
           Boston, MA 02115  UNITED STATES

ABSTRACT:
 We develop a life-cycle model of optimal retirement and savings
 behavior under complete markets. Our model explains the long-run
 decline in the age of retirement as an income level effect, with
 higher wage growth and lower interest rates tending to increase
 the retirement age. We show that improvements in health and
 longevity tend to increase the desired retirement age, but less
 than proportionately, while, contrary to conventional views,
 reducing savings rates. These results suggest that social
 security systems should respond to population aging by raising
 the retirement age and not by increasing people's contributions
 or reducing their benefit rates.


JEL Classification: J26, D91
______________________________

"Incentive Effects of Bonus Payments: Evidence from an
 International Company"

      BY:  AXEL ENGELLANDT
              University of Basel
           REGINA T. RIPHAHN
              University of Basel
              Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
              Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=571725

Paper ID:  IZA Discussion Paper No. 1229
    Date:  July 2004

 Contact:  REGINA T. RIPHAHN
   Email:  Mailto:regina.riphahn@unibas.ch
  Postal:  University of Basel
           Petersplatz 1
           CH-4003 Basel,    SWITZERLAND
   Phone:  +41 61 267 3367
     Fax:  +41 61 267 3351
 Co-Auth:  AXEL ENGELLANDT
   Email:  Mailto:Axel.Engellandt@unibas.ch
  Postal:  University of Basel
           Petersplatz 1
           CH-4003 Basel,    SWITZERLAND

ABSTRACT:
 This study uses panel data describing about 6,500 employees in a
 large international company to study the incentive effects of
 performance related pay. The company uses two performance
 related remuneration mechanisms. One is an individual surprise
 bonus payment. The other is a more structured system, where part
 of the salary is determined by individual performance
 evaluations. We hypothesize that effort is higher in departments
 where (i) performance evaluation results are more spread out,
 (ii) person-specific performance evaluations are more flexible
 over time, (iii) surprise bonuses are used more frequently.
 These hypotheses are tested using days of absence and overtime
 work as effort indicators. The tests yield that hypotheses (ii)
 and (iii) are supported, and that (i) cannot be tested reliably
 due to possible simultaneity bias in our data. We investigate
 and confirm the robustness of these findings. They suggest that
 surprise bonus payments and flexibility in the evaluation of
 individual performances over time provide effective incentives
 for employee effort.


JEL Classification: J33, M12, J24, J41, M50, C25
______________________________

"Understanding 401(k) Plans"

      BY:  RAMON P. DEGENNARO
              Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
              University of Tennessee, Knoxville
              Department of Finance
           DEBORAH MURPHY
              University of Tennessee, Knoxville
              Department of Finance

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=594402

Paper ID:  FRB of Atlanta Working Paper No. 2004-21
    Date:  September 2004

 Contact:  RAMON P. DEGENNARO
   Email:  Mailto:rdegenna@utk.edu
  Postal:  Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
           1000 Peachtree Street N.E.
           Atlanta, GA 30309-4470  UNITED STATES
 Co-Auth:  DEBORAH MURPHY
   Email:  Mailto:dgunthor@utk.edu
  Postal:  University of Tennessee, Knoxville
           Department of Finance
           Knoxville, TN 37996  UNITED STATES

ABSTRACT:
 Questions about the future of the Social Security system
 continue to surface. As a result, interest in employer-sponsored
 retirement plans and other retirement investment options
 increases. But the restrictions and rules associated with
 various defined benefit plans such as 401(k), 403 (b), and 457
 plans can be confusing, and these plans have risks of their own.
 The authors explore these plans and explain the need to view
 retirement savings as only one part of a portfolio.


JEL Classification: G11, G20, G29
______________________________

"The Determinants of Investment in Private Equity and Venture
 Capital: Evidence from American and Canadian Pension Funds"

      BY:  GILLES CHEMLA
              CNRS - THEMA
              Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
              University of British Columbia
              Sauder School of Business

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=556421

    Date:  June 8, 2004

 Contact:  GILLES CHEMLA
   Email:  Mailto:gilles.chemla@u-paris10.fr
  Postal:  CNRS - THEMA
           33 boulevard du port
           F-95011 Cergy-Pontoise Cedex,    FRANCE
   Phone:  331 4574 6785

ABSTRACT:
 This paper provides a comparative analysis of pension plan
 allocations to private equity and to venture capital in the
 United States and in Canada. Although the assets of American
 funds in our data are worth 10 times those of Canadian funds,
 their investment in private equity is about 20 times larger. In
 both countries, asset size is an important determinant of both
 the decision to invest in private equity and of how much to
 invest in that asset class. However, asset size does not appear
 as a significant determinant of investment in venture capital.
 The difference in pension fund asset sizes appears to explain
 well the differences in the decision to invest in private
 equity, but it is not sufficient to explain the differences in
 the amount invested in this type of assets. We examine other
 possible explanatory factors, such as geographical location, the
 institutional environment, and regulatory constraints.


JEL Classification: G23, G24, G11
______________________________

"Supply or Demand: Why is the Market for Long-Term Care Insurance
 So Small?"

      BY:  JEFFREY R. BROWN
              University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
              Department of Finance
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
           AMY FINKELSTEIN
              National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
              Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
              Department of Economics

Document:  Available from the SSRN Electronic Paper Collection:
           http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=593466

Paper ID:  NBER Working Paper No. W10782
    Date:  September 2004

 Contact:  JEFFREY R. BROWN
   Email:  Mailto:brownjr@uiuc.edu
  Postal:  University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
           Department of Finance
           1206 South Sixth Street
           Champaign, IL 61820  UNITED STATES
 Co-Auth:  AMY FINKELSTEIN
   Email:  Mailto:afinkels@nber.org
  Postal:  National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
           1050 Massachusetts Avenue
           Cambridge, MA 02138  UNITED STATES

Paper Requests:
 Full-Text downloads are free to persons at institutions that
 subscribe to the NBER Working Paper Series. Other persons can
 download the paper from SSRN for a $5 charge.

ABSTRACT:
 Long-term care represents one of the largest uninsured financial
 risks facing the elderly in the United States. Whether the small
 size of this market is driven primarily by supply side market
 imperfections or by limitations to demand, however, is
 unresolved, largely due to the paucity of data about the
 structure of the private market. We provide what is to our
 knowledge the first empirical evidence on the pricing and
 benefit structure of long-term care insurance policies. We
 estimate that the typical policy purchased by a 65-year old has
 an average pricing load of about 18 percent and has a very
 limited benefit structure, covering only one-third of the
 expected present discounted value of long-term care
 expenditures. These findings are consistent with the presence of
 supply side market imperfections. However, we also find enormous
 gender differences in pricing - typical loads are 44 cents on
 the dollar for men but better than actuarially fair for women -
 that do not translate into differences in coverage. And,
 although purchased policies provide limited benefits, we
 demonstrate that more comprehensive policies are
 widely-available at similar loads, but are rarely purchased.
 These findings suggest that while supply-side market
 imperfections exist, they are not the primary cause of the small
 size of the private long-term care insurance market.